Climate
Change Campaign Seminar
The
Politics of Climate Change - Nationally and Internationally
Presenter: Noel
Ryan
Wednesday
2 May 2001
Summary
of Seminar
Political
Divides over Climate Change
The
seminar highlighted the fact that the politics of climate change
are multi-dimensional. The following summary seeks to identify
the main areas where a political divide exists. This demonstrates
the complexity of reaching a strong and credible global agreement
on how to tackle predicted global warming and the impact of
consequent climate change - it is no easy task!
The
EU and the JUSCANZ Camps
In effect,
there are two main camps in the climate change negotiations.
The European Union and the group sometimes referred to as the
US-led Umbrella Group or JUSCANZ (Japan, US, Canada, Australia,
New Zealand).
The
differences between these camps are explored in the SAO's Briefing
Note. However, the main points of contention are around:
- strong binding
targets which the EU camp wants and the other camp is equivocal
about;
- the inclusion
of 'sinks' in calculating targets which the EU wants to limit
and which the JUSCANZ camp want to exploit;
- emissions trading
which the EU will allow but which must be supplementary to
real reductions of greenhouse gas emissions on home turf.
Basically,
the JUSCANZ camp is seen as wanting to exploit every chance
to avoid hard decisions within their national borders and to
prefer taking advantage of 'sinks' and emissions trading as
a way of reaching their targets.
The
politics of the 'developed' and 'developing' countries
To date,
most of the greenhouse gas emissions that are contributing
to accelerated climate change are coming from the rich, industrialised
nations such as the US, the EU, Japan, Canada, Australia, Russia
and eastern Europe. However, within a few years, over half
of the greenhouse gas emissions will come from the developing
world, including such countries as China and India.
The
Kyoto Protocol did not commit developing nations to reduced
emission targets - there seemed little point when the problem
is not of their making, at least now. For example, on a per
capita basis, one person in India contributes 1 tonne of CO2 into the atmosphere compared with 26 tonnes of CO2 by each Australian.
The
developing nations were to participate in the Kyoto agreement
via what is termed the Clean Development Mechanism.
This means that developing nations would, with the assistance
of the developed world, convert old technologies and develop
new technologies that would take them down a low greenhouse
pollution development path. Developed nations would receive
credit for this.
President
George W Bush has misrepresented the situation of developing
nations and used their exemption from specific target reductions
to justify the withdrawal of the US from global climate change
negotiations.
A further
and vital point to make here is that it will be developing
nations that will fare worse as predicted climate change takes
hold. The poor nations in parts of Africa, Asia and the Pacific
will feel the worst effects of climate change but these nations
and peoples will be least able to adapt. Ecological refugees
will join the ranks of other refugees. This raises the issue
of CLIMATE JUSTICE and SOLIDARITY.
The
political divide over climate change in Australia
In Australia,
the politics of climate change is acted out between the 'carbon
club' and the supporters of the environmentally concerned:
The
Carbon Club consists of:
- Some unions who
have members working in fossil fuel industries
- Oil companies
- Mining industry
- Some farmers
- Laviosier Group
- a think tank.
The
Environmentally Concerned consist of:
- Some farmers
- Renewable energy
industry
- Some parts of
the insurance industry
- Tourism
- Health professionals
who see health risks.
There
does not seem to be much difference between the Coalition and
ALP on climate change issues. Pressure needs to be applied
to the ALP to declare where it actually stands in relation
to the Kyoto Protocol.
(This
summary has been developed from seminar notes taken by Coralie
Kingston, SAO Coordinator. In no way is Noel Ryan responsible
for any error that may appear here inadvertently.)